- Competitions: Premier League, then Championship
- Covers: the next three days of fixtures
- Shows: a clear pick for every game, with the reasoning
- Record: every call logged before kick-off
- Audience: 18+ only, for information
These are our football predictions today for the Premier League and Championship. For each game in the next three days you get a clear pick, a home win, a draw or an away win, and you can open the reasoning behind it. Live scores appear once a game kicks off. Below the fixtures we explain how the picks are built, how to use them sensibly and how we have done so far.
Premier League predictions
LiverpoolvArsenal
Why this prediction?
The table. Liverpool are 5th on 15 points from 8 games; Arsenal are 2nd on 21 from 8.
Recent form (league, most recent first). Liverpool: W W L W D, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Arsenal: W W W L W, scoring 7 and conceding 4.
Home and away. Liverpool at home: won 1, drew 2, lost 1 (4 scored, 5 conceded). Arsenal away: won 3, drew 0, lost 1 (4 scored, 3 conceded).
Head-to-head. In the last 5 meetings: Liverpool won 2, Arsenal won 0, 3 drawn. Most recent: Arsenal 0-0 Liverpool (January 2026).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 2.0 goals: roughly 0.9 for Liverpool and 1.1 for Arsenal, so a tight, low-scoring game is likely.
Why we picked Arsenal. The numbers that favour them:
- Arsenal sit 3 places higher in the table
- Arsenal have the better away record (2.3 points a game) than Liverpool have at home (1.3)
- Arsenal have the better goal difference per game (+1.0 against +0.4)
What could go wrong. Pointing the other way:
- Liverpool have won 2 of the last 5 meetings
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
NewcastlevEverton
Why this prediction?
The table. Newcastle are 11th on 11 points from 8 games; Everton are 14th on 10 from 8.
Recent form (league, most recent first). Newcastle: W L L W L, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Everton: L L D W D, scoring 3 and conceding 6.
Home and away. Newcastle at home: won 1, drew 2, lost 1 (6 scored, 6 conceded). Everton away: won 0, drew 3, lost 1 (3 scored, 5 conceded).
Head-to-head. In the last 5 meetings: Newcastle won 1, Everton won 4, 0 drawn. Most recent: Everton 3-1 Newcastle (October 2026).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 2.5 goals: roughly 1.4 for Newcastle and 1.1 for Everton.
Why we picked Newcastle. The numbers that favour them:
- Newcastle sit 3 places higher in the table
- Newcastle are stronger at home (1.3 points a game) than Everton are away (0.8)
What could go wrong. Pointing the other way:
- Everton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
Championship predictions
WatfordvLincoln
Why this prediction?
The table. Watford are 21st on 11 points from 13 games; Lincoln are 16th on 15 from 13.
Recent form (league, most recent first). Watford: L L W L L, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Lincoln: L W D L L, scoring 7 and conceding 15.
Home and away. Watford at home: won 3, drew 1, lost 2 (8 scored, 9 conceded). Lincoln away: won 3, drew 1, lost 2 (6 scored, 7 conceded).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 2.5 goals: roughly 1.3 for Watford and 1.3 for Lincoln.
Why we picked Lincoln. The numbers that favour them:
- Lincoln sit 5 places higher in the table
What could go wrong. Nothing in the numbers points strongly towards Watford, who have taken 1.7 points a game at home (3 wins in 6). One early goal or a red card can undo any prediction.
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
PrestonvSheffield Utd
Why this prediction?
The table. Preston are 24th on 5 points from 13 games; Sheffield Utd are 10th on 19 from 13.
Recent form (league, most recent first). Preston: L D L L L, scoring 2 and conceding 12. Sheffield Utd: W D W L W, scoring 8 and conceding 4.
Home and away. Preston at home: won 1, drew 1, lost 4 (5 scored, 10 conceded). Sheffield Utd away: won 2, drew 2, lost 2 (8 scored, 8 conceded).
Head-to-head. In the last 5 meetings: Preston won 2, Sheffield Utd won 3, 0 drawn. Most recent: Sheffield Utd 2-3 Preston (April 2026).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 2.6 goals: roughly 1.1 for Preston and 1.5 for Sheffield Utd.
Why we picked Sheffield Utd. The numbers that favour them:
- Sheffield Utd sit 14 places higher in the table
- Sheffield Utd took 10 points from their last 5 league games, to 1 for Preston
- Sheffield Utd have the better away record (1.3 points a game) than Preston have at home (0.7)
What could go wrong. Nothing in the numbers points strongly towards Preston, who have taken 0.7 points a game at home (1 wins in 6). One early goal or a red card can undo any prediction.
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
BlackburnvStoke City
Why this prediction?
The table. Blackburn are 13th on 18 points from 13 games; Stoke City are 7th on 23 from 13.
Recent form (league, most recent first). Blackburn: L W L W W, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Stoke City: W D W L W, scoring 7 and conceding 4.
Home and away. Blackburn at home: won 4, drew 0, lost 2 (11 scored, 7 conceded). Stoke City away: won 3, drew 1, lost 2 (8 scored, 10 conceded).
Head-to-head. In the last 5 meetings: Blackburn won 1, Stoke City won 2, 2 drawn. Most recent: Stoke City 1-1 Blackburn (April 2026).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 3.0 goals: roughly 1.8 for Blackburn and 1.3 for Stoke City.
Why we picked Stoke City. The numbers that favour them:
- Stoke City sit 6 places higher in the table
- Stoke City have won 2 of the last 5 meetings
What could go wrong. Nothing in the numbers points strongly towards Blackburn, who have taken 2.0 points a game at home (4 wins in 6). One early goal or a red card can undo any prediction.
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
DerbyvNorwich
Why this prediction?
The table. Derby are 23rd on 7 points from 13 games; Norwich are 15th on 15 from 13.
Recent form (league, most recent first). Derby: L D L L D, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Norwich: W W L L L, scoring 7 and conceding 7.
Home and away. Derby at home: won 0, drew 2, lost 4 (4 scored, 10 conceded). Norwich away: won 2, drew 0, lost 4 (10 scored, 12 conceded).
Head-to-head. In the last 5 meetings: Derby won 1, Norwich won 3, 1 drawn. Most recent: Norwich 2-1 Derby (April 2026).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 3.0 goals: roughly 1.3 for Derby and 1.7 for Norwich.
Why we picked Norwich. The numbers that favour them:
- Norwich sit 8 places higher in the table
- Norwich took 6 points from their last 5 league games, to 2 for Derby
- Norwich have the better away record (1.0 points a game) than Derby have at home (0.3)
What could go wrong. Nothing in the numbers points strongly towards Derby, who have taken 0.3 points a game at home (0 wins in 6). One early goal or a red card can undo any prediction.
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
QPRvBurnley
Why this prediction?
The table. QPR are 9th on 20 points from 13 games; Burnley are 22nd on 9 from 13.
Recent form (league, most recent first). QPR: L W L W D, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Burnley: D L L D W, scoring 8 and conceding 8.
Home and away. QPR at home: won 3, drew 2, lost 1 (13 scored, 5 conceded). Burnley away: won 1, drew 1, lost 4 (9 scored, 15 conceded).
Head-to-head. In the last 5 meetings: QPR won 1, Burnley won 3, 1 drawn. Most recent: QPR 0-5 Burnley (April 2025).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 3.5 goals: roughly 2.3 for QPR and 1.2 for Burnley, so an open game with chances at both ends is likely.
Why we picked QPR. The numbers that favour them:
- QPR sit 13 places higher in the table
- QPR are stronger at home (1.8 points a game) than Burnley are away (0.7)
- QPR have the better goal difference per game (+0.4 against -0.6)
What could go wrong. Pointing the other way:
- Burnley have won 3 of the last 5 meetings
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
CharltonvBolton
Why this prediction?
The table. Charlton are 20th on 14 points from 13 games; Bolton are 19th on 14 from 13.
Recent form (league, most recent first). Charlton: L L L D D, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Bolton: L L D W L, scoring 7 and conceding 11.
Home and away. Charlton at home: won 2, drew 3, lost 1 (5 scored, 5 conceded). Bolton away: won 2, drew 2, lost 2 (9 scored, 11 conceded).
Head-to-head. In the last 5 meetings: Charlton won 2, Bolton won 2, 1 drawn. Most recent: Bolton 1-2 Charlton (January 2025).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 2.5 goals: roughly 1.3 for Charlton and 1.2 for Bolton.
Why we picked Bolton. There is little between the sides on the raw numbers, but our model, which blends form, attack, defence and head-to-head, leans their way by a narrow margin.
What could go wrong. Nothing in the numbers points strongly towards Charlton, who have taken 1.5 points a game at home (2 wins in 6). One early goal or a red card can undo any prediction.
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
PortsmouthvSwansea
Why this prediction?
The table. Portsmouth are 11th on 19 points from 13 games; Swansea are 2nd on 26 from 13.
Recent form (league, most recent first). Portsmouth: D W D W W, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Swansea: W L L W W, scoring 7 and conceding 7.
Home and away. Portsmouth at home: won 3, drew 1, lost 2 (10 scored, 10 conceded). Swansea away: won 4, drew 0, lost 2 (9 scored, 10 conceded).
Head-to-head. In the last 4 meetings: Portsmouth won 1, Swansea won 2, 1 drawn. Most recent: Portsmouth 1-2 Swansea (March 2026).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 3.3 goals: roughly 1.7 for Portsmouth and 1.6 for Swansea, so an open game with chances at both ends is likely.
Why we picked Swansea. The numbers that favour them:
- Swansea sit 9 places higher in the table
- Swansea have the better goal difference per game (+0.5 against +0.1)
- Swansea have won 2 of the last 4 meetings
What could go wrong. Nothing in the numbers points strongly towards Portsmouth, who have taken 1.7 points a game at home (3 wins in 6). One early goal or a red card can undo any prediction.
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
BirminghamvMillwall
Why this prediction?
The table. Birmingham are 6th on 23 points from 13 games; Millwall are 12th on 18 from 13.
Recent form (league, most recent first). Birmingham: W L W W W, scoring 11 and conceding 2. Millwall: W L D L W, scoring 8 and conceding 6.
Home and away. Birmingham at home: won 2, drew 4, lost 0 (14 scored, 7 conceded). Millwall away: won 2, drew 1, lost 3 (8 scored, 12 conceded).
Head-to-head. In the last 5 meetings: Birmingham won 2, Millwall won 2, 1 drawn. Most recent: Millwall 3-0 Birmingham (February 2026).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 3.4 goals: roughly 2.2 for Birmingham and 1.3 for Millwall, so an open game with chances at both ends is likely.
Why we picked Birmingham. The numbers that favour them:
- Birmingham sit 6 places higher in the table
- Birmingham took 12 points from their last 5 league games, to 7 for Millwall
- Birmingham are stronger at home (1.7 points a game) than Millwall are away (1.2)
What could go wrong. Nothing in the numbers points strongly towards Millwall, who have taken 1.2 points a game away from home (2 wins in 6). One early goal or a red card can undo any prediction.
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
West BromvSouthampton
Why this prediction?
The table. West Brom are 4th on 24 points from 13 games; Southampton are 5th on 23 from 13.
Recent form (league, most recent first). West Brom: W D W W L, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Southampton: W W D W W, scoring 9 and conceding 3.
Home and away. West Brom at home: won 3, drew 2, lost 1 (9 scored, 6 conceded). Southampton away: won 2, drew 2, lost 2 (8 scored, 8 conceded).
Head-to-head. In the last 5 meetings: West Brom won 0, Southampton won 3, 2 drawn. Most recent: West Brom 1-1 Southampton (March 2026).
Goals. Putting their scoring and conceding records together, we expect about 2.6 goals: roughly 1.4 for West Brom and 1.2 for Southampton.
Why we picked Southampton. The numbers that favour them:
- Southampton took 13 points from their last 5 league games, to 10 for West Brom
- Southampton have the better goal difference per game (+1.2 against +0.4)
- Southampton have won 3 of the last 5 meetings
What could go wrong. Pointing the other way:
- West Brom are stronger at home (1.8 points a game) than Southampton are away (1.3)
Line-ups and injuries can change the picture, so check team news before kick-off.
Predictions come from our model, built on recent form, attack and defence strength, goals and head-to-head history. They are not guarantees. Check the 18+ and safer gambling notes below.
Today’s talking points
The daily talking points are written each morning from the latest form, injuries and fixtures. Check back after the morning update.
How do we make our football predictions?
We start with a licensed data feed that scores every upcoming Premier League and Championship game. The model looks at each side’s recent form, how many goals they score and concede, how strong their attack is against the other side’s defence, and what happened when the two met before. It turns those inputs into one pick for each game: a home win, a draw or an away win.
The picks are estimates, not facts. A side that is favoured to win still fails to do so in a large share of comparable games. Because of that, we keep the language plain, we never call anything certain, and we publish the full record of hits and misses further down.
In the daily talking points we also add context a model cannot see well, such as suspensions, a congested week or a manager change. Where the model and our own read differ, we say so.
How should you read our predictions?
Each game shows one pick. Tap “Why this prediction?” to open the reasoning, which names the factors that tip the game, such as stronger recent form, a sharper attack, a tighter defence or a better head-to-head record. Where the sides are very close, the pick is only a slight lean, and the reasoning says so.
A few simple rules help. First, a draw is rarely the single most likely result, but it happens in roughly a quarter of games, so it should never be ignored. Second, the more reasons listed in favour of one side, the stronger the pick. Third, the goals pointer, such as under 3.5, is a rough guide to how open the game may be, not a forecast of the exact score.
What are the limits of football predictions?
Football has fewer goals than most team sports, so a single deflection, red card or goalkeeping error can undo a well-supported lean. Models also react slowly to late news. If a key striker is ruled out an hour before kick-off, the picks may not have caught up yet.
Early-season games have the least reliable numbers because there is little form to read. The same is true after an international break, when squads return tired or unsettled. That is why we publish the record below instead of asking you to take the model on trust.
How have our predictions performed?
Every pick on this page is saved before kick-off and never edited afterwards. The pick is a single outcome: home win, draw or away win. Once a game finishes, we compare the result with the pick and add it to the running total.
Our prediction record
We started logging our prediction for every match on this page on 31 October 2026. Results will appear here as games finish, including the misses. Pending: 11.
| Date | Match | Our prediction | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov | Birmingham v Millwall | Birmingham to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | West Brom v Southampton | Southampton to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Watford v Lincoln | Lincoln to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Preston v Sheffield Utd | Sheffield Utd to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Blackburn v Stoke City | Stoke City to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Derby v Norwich | Norwich to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | QPR v Burnley | QPR to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Charlton v Bolton | Bolton to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Portsmouth v Swansea | Swansea to win | – | Pending |
| 2 Nov | Newcastle v Everton | Newcastle to win | – | Pending |
| 1 Nov | Liverpool v Arsenal | Arsenal to win | – | Pending |
A fair target for any football model is a hit rate that beats simply backing the home side every week. We will report honestly if we fall short of that. Read more in how accurate are football predictions.
Where can you find the data behind these predictions?
You can check the context for any game on its own pages. Our Premier League form table shows who is hot or cold, the clean sheets table shows which defences are tight, and the league tables show where each side sits. For a single side, open its page in our club guides. Results and kick-off times are on our fixtures and results pages, and you can follow games as they happen on live scores. For the wider picture, see the Premier League hub and the Championship hub.
Gamble responsibly
This page is for information and entertainment, for people aged 18 and over. Predictions are not guarantees and are not advice to bet. If you choose to gamble, set a limit you can afford, never chase losses and take breaks. Free, confidential support is available from BeGambleAware at begambleaware.org or on 0808 8020 133, and you can read our responsible gambling page for more. We do not take bets and we do not link to bookmakers from this page.
Football predictions today: frequently asked questions
What are football predictions today?
They are our data-led picks for the Premier League and Championship games coming up in the next few days: a home win, a draw or an away win, with a short reason behind each one. They are opinions based on numbers, not certainties.
How accurate are your football predictions?
Football is low-scoring and results often turn on one moment, so no model is right every time. We log the model’s pick for every match before kick-off and publish the running record, including the misses, so you can judge for yourself.
Where do the predictions come from?
They come from the prediction feed of API-Football, a licensed data provider. It combines recent form, attacking and defensive strength, goals and head-to-head history. We do not change the numbers by hand.
How often is this page updated?
The fixtures and picks refresh through the day. The written talking points are rewritten each morning, and the date at the top shows when they were last updated.
Are these betting tips?
No. They are predictions and analysis. Nothing here is a guarantee, and nothing on this page is a recommendation to place a bet. If you do bet, only stake what you can afford to lose.
Why are some predictions only a slight lean?
When two outcomes are almost level, the model still has to choose one, so the reasoning tells you the pick is only a slight lean. We would rather say that than pretend every game has a clear favourite.
Are these football predictions free?
Yes. The predictions, the reasoning and our full record are free to read, with no sign-up or payment. We do not sell picks.
