- Competition: UEFA Champions League, 2026-27
- Covers: the next seven days of fixtures
- Shows: one pick per game, with a confidence label and the reasoning
- Record: every pick saved before kick-off
- Audience: 18+ only, for information
These are our Champions League predictions for the coming week. Every game gets one clear pick, a label showing how firm it is, and the reasoning behind it, which you can open with one tap. Below the fixtures we explain how the model works, where it is weakest and how our picks have performed so far. For the table and results, see the Champions League hub.
Shakhtar DonetskvSporting CP
Why this prediction?
Our numbers. We expect about 1.2 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.3 for Sporting CP, which gives a close call.
Domestic strength. Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.0 and concede 0.5 a game in Ukraine (1st in the table). Sporting CP score 2.3 and concede 1.1 in Portugal (3rd). We scale each by the strength of their league, so a goal against stronger opposition counts for more.
The league phase. Shakhtar Donetsk are 17th with 4 points (goal difference +1); Sporting CP are 12th with 6 (+3). Their Champions League form counts for more as the games add up.
What could go wrong. Comparing clubs from different leagues is harder than comparing two teams in one league, and Champions League games are decided by small margins. Rotation, injuries and suspensions are not in the numbers, so check team news before kick-off.
GalatasarayvVfB Stuttgart
Why this prediction?
Our numbers. We expect about 1.2 goals for Galatasaray and 1.7 for VfB Stuttgart, which gives a clear lean.
Domestic strength. Galatasaray score 2.3 and concede 1.2 a game in Turkey (1st in the table). VfB Stuttgart score 1.8 and concede 1.9 in Germany (11th). We scale each by the strength of their league, so a goal against stronger opposition counts for more.
The league phase. Galatasaray are 23rd with 3 points (goal difference -3); VfB Stuttgart are 6th with 7 (+5). Their Champions League form counts for more as the games add up.
What could go wrong. Comparing clubs from different leagues is harder than comparing two teams in one league, and Champions League games are decided by small margins. Rotation, injuries and suspensions are not in the numbers, so check team news before kick-off.
Manchester UnitedvAS Roma
Why this prediction?
Our numbers. We expect about 1.5 goals for Manchester United and 1.4 for AS Roma, which gives a close call.
Domestic strength. Manchester United score 1.1 and concede 1.7 a game in England (17th in the table). AS Roma score 2.8 and concede 1.0 in Italy (3rd). We scale each by the strength of their league, so a goal against stronger opposition counts for more.
The league phase. Manchester United are 21st with 3 points (goal difference -1); AS Roma are 15th with 4 (+3). Their Champions League form counts for more as the games add up.
What could go wrong. Comparing clubs from different leagues is harder than comparing two teams in one league, and Champions League games are decided by small margins. Rotation, injuries and suspensions are not in the numbers, so check team news before kick-off.
FeyenoordvInter
Why this prediction?
Our numbers. We expect about 1.4 goals for Feyenoord and 1.5 for Inter, which gives a close call.
Domestic strength. Feyenoord score 3.0 and concede 1.1 a game in Netherlands (1st in the table). Inter score 2.6 and concede 1.3 in Italy (2nd). We scale each by the strength of their league, so a goal against stronger opposition counts for more.
The league phase. Feyenoord are 26th with 3 points (goal difference -4); Inter are 20th with 3 (-1). Their Champions League form counts for more as the games add up.
What could go wrong. Comparing clubs from different leagues is harder than comparing two teams in one league, and Champions League games are decided by small margins. Rotation, injuries and suspensions are not in the numbers, so check team news before kick-off.
Bodo/GlimtvLille
Why this prediction?
Our numbers. We expect about 1.1 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.4 for Lille, which gives a clear lean.
Domestic strength. Bodo/Glimt score 2.4 and concede 0.9 a game in Norway (2nd in the table). Lille score 1.3 and concede 0.7 in France (2nd). We scale each by the strength of their league, so a goal against stronger opposition counts for more.
The league phase. Bodo/Glimt are 28th with 3 points (goal difference -5); Lille are 35th with 0 (-6). Their Champions League form counts for more as the games add up.
What could go wrong. Comparing clubs from different leagues is harder than comparing two teams in one league, and Champions League games are decided by small margins. Rotation, injuries and suspensions are not in the numbers, so check team news before kick-off.
BarcelonavAston Villa
Why this prediction?
Our numbers. We expect about 2.2 goals for Barcelona and 1.2 for Aston Villa, which gives a strong lean.
Domestic strength. Barcelona score 4.2 and concede 1.1 a game in Spain (1st in the table). Aston Villa score 1.1 and concede 1.4 in England (9th). We scale each by the strength of their league, so a goal against stronger opposition counts for more.
The league phase. Barcelona are 8th with 6 points (goal difference +5); Aston Villa are 2nd with 9 (+9). Their Champions League form counts for more as the games add up.
What could go wrong. Comparing clubs from different leagues is harder than comparing two teams in one league, and Champions League games are decided by small margins. Rotation, injuries and suspensions are not in the numbers, so check team news before kick-off.
Atletico MadridvBayern München
Why this prediction?
Our numbers. We expect about 1.5 goals for Atletico Madrid and 1.1 for Bayern München, which gives a clear lean.
Domestic strength. Atletico Madrid score 2.0 and concede 0.7 a game in Spain (2nd in the table). Bayern München score 3.4 and concede 1.0 in Germany (1st). We scale each by the strength of their league, so a goal against stronger opposition counts for more.
The league phase. Atletico Madrid are 16th with 4 points (goal difference +1); Bayern München are 14th with 5 (+5). Their Champions League form counts for more as the games add up.
What could go wrong. Comparing clubs from different leagues is harder than comparing two teams in one league, and Champions League games are decided by small margins. Rotation, injuries and suspensions are not in the numbers, so check team news before kick-off.
VillarrealvParis Saint Germain
Why this prediction?
Our numbers. We expect about 1.7 goals for Villarreal and 1.4 for Paris Saint Germain, which gives a clear lean.
Domestic strength. Villarreal score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in Spain (8th in the table). Paris Saint Germain score 2.3 and concede 1.1 in France (1st). We scale each by the strength of their league, so a goal against stronger opposition counts for more.
The league phase. Villarreal are 19th with 3 points (goal difference +0); Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 9 (+9). Their Champions League form counts for more as the games add up.
What could go wrong. Comparing clubs from different leagues is harder than comparing two teams in one league, and Champions League games are decided by small margins. Rotation, injuries and suspensions are not in the numbers, so check team news before kick-off.
Lask LinzvSlovan Bratislava
Why this prediction?
Our numbers. We expect about 2.1 goals for Lask Linz and 0.9 for Slovan Bratislava, which gives a strong lean.
Domestic strength. Lask Linz score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in Austria (3rd in the table). Slovan Bratislava score 2.3 and concede 1.0 in Slovakia (2nd). We scale each by the strength of their league, so a goal against stronger opposition counts for more.
The league phase. Lask Linz are 24th with 3 points (goal difference -3); Slovan Bratislava are 36th with 0 (-12). Their Champions League form counts for more as the games add up.
What could go wrong. Comparing clubs from different leagues is harder than comparing two teams in one league, and Champions League games are decided by small margins. Rotation, injuries and suspensions are not in the numbers, so check team news before kick-off.
AEK Athens FCvReal Madrid
Why this prediction?
Our numbers. We expect about 1.1 goals for AEK Athens FC and 1.7 for Real Madrid, which gives a clear lean.
Domestic strength. AEK Athens FC score 3.0 and concede 0.4 a game in Greece (4th in the table). Real Madrid score 2.5 and concede 0.9 in Spain (3rd). We scale each by the strength of their league, so a goal against stronger opposition counts for more.
The league phase. AEK Athens FC are 29th with 3 points (goal difference -5); Real Madrid are 4th with 9 (+5). Their Champions League form counts for more as the games add up.
What could go wrong. Comparing clubs from different leagues is harder than comparing two teams in one league, and Champions League games are decided by small margins. Rotation, injuries and suspensions are not in the numbers, so check team news before kick-off.
Our Champions League model is new. It rates each club from domestic goals scored and conceded, scaled by league strength, and blends in league-phase form as games are played. Predictions are not guarantees. 18+ only, gamble responsibly.
How do our Champions League predictions work?
Comparing two clubs from the same league is easy, because they have played similar opponents. A Champions League game is harder, because a side that scores freely in Portugal or Norway has not faced the defences of England or Spain. So the model starts by rating each club on the goals it scores and concedes in its own league, then scales that rating by how strong the league is. A goal against tougher opposition counts for more.
As the league phase goes on, each club’s Champions League results are blended in. After a few games they carry modest weight, and the weight grows with every match played. The model then estimates how many goals each side should score, works out which of a home win, a draw and an away win is the most likely after 90 minutes, and picks that result. If the home and away chances are almost level and a draw is a live outcome, it picks the draw instead.
How should you read a Champions League prediction?
Look at the label next to the pick before you read anything into it. A “strong lean” means the model sees one side as clearly more likely, a “clear lean” means a moderate edge and a “close call” means little separates the sides. Open “Why this prediction?” to see the domestic numbers, the league-phase position and the goals we expect from each side.
It also helps to check the context around a game. The Champions League top scorers page shows which forwards are in form, and the hub shows how tight the table is. If a team has already qualified or is chasing a place in the play-offs, that can change how hard it plays, and no model sees that.
Which Champions League games are hardest to predict?
Games between clubs from very different leagues are the hardest, because the league-strength scaling is an estimate, not a measurement. Early league-phase games are also tricky, since few results are in and the model leans on domestic form. Two-leg knockout ties add another wrinkle, because a side may play for a result over 180 minutes rather than win each game.
The biggest blind spot is team news. The model reads results and goals, not line-ups, so a rested star or a late injury is invisible to it. That is why we keep the language plain and never call a result certain.
How do these differ from our domestic predictions?
The domestic pages use one league’s table and recent form, which works well when both sides play each other’s opponents. This Champions League model is built separately because that assumption breaks down in Europe. The picks are also logged in their own record, so the Champions League results never mix with the Premier League predictions or the Championship picks. You can see every game across competitions on our football predictions today page.
How accurate have our Champions League predictions been?
Every pick is saved before kick-off and never edited afterwards. When a game finishes, we compare the result after 90 minutes with the pick and add it to the running total, so the record below includes our misses as well as our hits.
Our Champions League prediction record
We started logging our Champions League predictions on 1 November 2026, before kick-off and never edited afterwards. Results appear here as games finish, including the misses. Pending: 18.
| Date | Match | Our prediction | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov | Lens v Como | Como to win | – | Pending |
| 4 Nov | Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis | Borussia Dortmund to win | – | Pending |
| 4 Nov | RB Leipzig v Manchester City | Manchester City to win | – | Pending |
| 4 Nov | PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV | PSV Eindhoven to win | – | Pending |
| 4 Nov | FC Porto v Napoli | FC Porto to win | – | Pending |
| 4 Nov | Slavia Praha v Arsenal | Arsenal to win | – | Pending |
| 4 Nov | Viking v Sabah FA | Viking to win | – | Pending |
| 4 Nov | AEK Athens FC v Real Madrid | Real Madrid to win | – | Pending |
| 4 Nov | Fenerbahçe v Liverpool | Liverpool to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Manchester United v AS Roma | Manchester United to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Feyenoord v Inter | Inter to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Bodo/Glimt v Lille | Lille to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Barcelona v Aston Villa | Barcelona to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Atletico Madrid v Bayern München | Atletico Madrid to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Villarreal v Paris Saint Germain | Villarreal to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Lask Linz v Slovan Bratislava | Lask Linz to win | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP | Draw | – | Pending |
| 3 Nov | Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart | VfB Stuttgart to win | – | Pending |
Before launch, we tested the model on the 54 league-phase games played so far. It called about 63% of results, against 59% for always picking the home side, and its forecasts were closer to what happened than a simple home-win baseline. That test used the same games we tuned the model on, and 54 games is a small sample, so we expect the live record to be lower and we will report it honestly. For more on what to expect, read how accurate are football predictions.
Where can you check the data behind each pick?
You can check the context for any game on its own pages. The fixtures and results pages list kick-off times and scores, the league tables show the domestic positions we refer to, and our club guides give background on a single side.
Gamble responsibly
This page is for information and entertainment, for people aged 18 and over. Predictions are not guarantees and are not advice to bet. If you choose to gamble, set a limit you can afford, never chase losses and take breaks. Free, confidential support is available from BeGambleAware at begambleaware.org or on the GamCare helpline, 0808 8020 133, and you can read our responsible gambling page for more. We do not take bets and we do not link to bookmakers from this page.
Champions League predictions: frequently asked questions
What are Champions League predictions?
They are our data-led picks for the Champions League games in the coming week: a home win, a draw or an away win for each game, with a label for how firm the pick is and a short reason behind every pick. They are estimates based on numbers, not certainties.
How is the Champions League model different from your league predictions?
Our domestic predictions lean on one league’s table and form. Champions League clubs come from different leagues, so this model rates each club on goals scored and conceded at home, scales that by the strength of their league and blends in league-phase form as games are played.
How accurate are your Champions League predictions?
The model is new, so the record is short. When we built it we tested it on the 54 league-phase games already played, where it called about 63% of results against 59% for always picking the home side. That test used the same games we tuned it on and the sample is small, so treat it as a starting point and judge the live record below.
How often are the Champions League predictions updated?
The fixtures and picks refresh through the day as the data changes. When a game kicks off it drops off the list and moves into the results record.
Are these Champions League betting tips?
No. They are predictions and analysis for information and entertainment, for people aged 18 and over. Nothing here is a guarantee or a recommendation to bet, and this page does not link to bookmakers.
Do the predictions allow for injuries and rotation?
Not yet. The model reads results and goals, not line-ups, so late injuries, suspensions and heavy rotation are not in the numbers. Check team news before kick-off.
Are the predictions free?
Yes. The picks, the reasoning and the full record are free to read, with no sign-up or payment.
